Elon Musk says that it is most likely that we are living in a simulation. His only way to support it is a philosophical paper written 15 years ago. The paper is all about probability, and it evaluates how out of all possible scenarios for mankind, the most likely is that we end up creating a simulation, and therefore we are most likely in a simulation. There are many problems I find with this:
- “Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.” - Carl Sagan. There is (to my knowledge) no scientific evidence to support the claim that we are living in a simulation, something needed in order to make the claim at least slightly believable.
- Using probability to reach the conclusion is not enough. Statistically, It is more probable that I, the person that created this post, is chinese (because of the amount of people from a certain country in the world), and yet you do not take it as a fact that I am, nor you take it as a fact that every internet stranger must be chinese.
EDIT: Yes, ok. The chinese example doesn't really work on reddit. The point about statistics and probability still stands though.
- What's the point of being so skeptical about our reality? I see no benefit to questioning our reality to this extent, in which we cannot completely prove, only speculate.